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China Feed Market Report Wk # 43-44

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01 Nov 2016
Sources: 
CFO Exclusive

 

We are pleased to update you the current China FEED market information as below:

 

  1. FISHMEAL / FISH Oil SECTION

[Fishmeal Statistics Jan-Sept, 2016]

Total Fishmeal Imports to China : 847,980.36 MT tons.

Total Peruvian Fishmeal Imports to China: 365,506.12 tons.

Total Vietnamese Fishmeal Imports to China: 100,475.45 tons

 

Brief China RMB Cash Market:

China fishmeal RMB market is continuing firm and up mainly due to low quota rumor in Peru, In particular, RMB sharply depreciated about 1.4% in a week. Averagely, China fishmeal price moving up about RMB 100/mt this week and most of importers/traders are firm with low intention to negotiate.

 

RMB Cash Market:

Updated: 31/Oct/2016

Unit: RMB/mt

China Peruvian Fishmeal Cash Market by Ports

Ports

Quality

Week #43

Week #42

Changes

Dalian

Super Prime 68%

12,100

12,000

+100

Standard 65%

10,600

10,600

 --

Tianjin

Super Prime 68%

12,100

12,000

+100

Standard 65%

10,600

10,600

--

Shanghai

Super Prime 68%

12,000

11,900

+100

Standard 65%

10,400

10,400

--

Huangpu

Super Prime 68%

12,000

11,900

+100

Standard 65%

10,400

10,400

--

 

FM Stock & Off-take:

Updated: 31/Oct/2016

Unit: mt

China Fishmeal (Stock & Off Take) Weekly Status

Ports

Wk #43

Wk #42

Current Stock

Off Take

Weekly Arrival

Previous Stock

Shanghai

45,080

6,830

5,800

46,110

Huangpu

45,410

7,080

6,200

46,290

Tianjin

840

270

300

810

Dalian

13,100

1,320

600

13,820

Other

22,680

2,710

2,700

22,690

Total Qty

127,110

18,210

15,600

129,720

- Total China fishmeal stock end of week at China Main Ports: 127,110 mt
- Total fishmeal sold and off-take from ports warehouses previous week: 17,340 mt

 

China Domestic Fishmeal

Updated: 31/Oct/2016

Unit: RMB/mt

 Local Produced Fishmeal Price

Region

Quality

Wk #43

Wk #42

Zhejiang

60% / TVN 150 (semi-defatted)

9,200

9,200

62% / TVN 130 (semi-defatted)

9,400

9,400

Shandong

63% / TVN 150 (semi-defatted)

9,800

9,700~9,800

  - Supply of local fishmeal is limited as total over 215 plants are under Government Environmental remediation investigation. Foresee the supply of local fishmeal is to be extended and prices are firm in this season.

 

White Fishmeal

Updated: 31/Oct/2016

Unit: RMB/mt

White Fishmeal Price Report

Brand/Origin

Wk #43

Wk #42

Changes

American Seafoods

13,600

13,600

--

Russian WFM - 60% - high pro

11,500

11,800

-300

- An indication only, prices ranges due to various quality, freshness and brand.
- Above prices are importing duties paid.

 

Fish Oil

Update:  31/Oct/2016

Unit: USD/mt

Peruvian Fish oil Market FOB Price

Quality/Packing

Wk #43

Wk #42

Changes

Crude - Bulk

2,150

2,150

--

Crude - Drum/FCL

2,250

2,250

--

Crude - Flexi tank/FCL

2,400

2,400

--

Omega-3-28%EPA/DHA (Bulk/FCL)

3,200

3,200

--

- Total fish oil imported 25,385.49mt during Jan-Sep, including 1,739.89mt in Sep.
- Top 2 major ports: Guangzhou 7,337.55mt, Fuzhou 5,686.98mt in total.

 

The monthly China fishmeal off-take of each Oct since 2014:

Unit: MT

Oct 2016

Oct 2015

Oct 2014

Monthly beginning

130,980

110,000

127,700

Monthly input

54,400

24,600

17,700

Monthly end

127,110

85,700

83,300

Monthly off-take

58,270

48,900

62,100

 

FM Comments:

In considering of continuing depreciating currency of RMB, importing cost is getting expensive, therefore, most of importers will keep price firm & up in a short-term. However, we cant ignore the other key factor that peak fishmeal consumption is ending in Nov and demand is slowing down.  At this moment, the major factor to support fishmeal RMB price is speculation low quota in Peru.  Let’s keep monitoring the PRODUCE Peru quota declaration anytime in coming week.

 

II. Animal Protein/Grain Sections                             

MBM/PBM:

Animal protein market is continuing firm mainly due to short of inventory at most of ports.  However, peak feed production season is ending especially in North China. Also, Chinese near year is earlier this year (Jan 28) so that December shipment cargo shall be reduced as buyers prefer cargo arriving China avoid CNY holidays.  (normally one week before & after is no labors at ports)

Origin

Protein

US$/mt

Shipment

Changes +/-

Uruguay (Bag)

Beef 45%

450

Dec/Jan

--

Australia (Bulk)

Beef 50%

530

Dec/Jan

--


Soybean Meal

Updated: 31/Oct/2016

Unit: RMB/mt

China Soybean Meal Market Futures Price Week #44

Contract Period

Today’s Price

1 weeks ago

2 week ago

3 weeks ago

January 2017

2,916

2,872

2,835

2,843

May 2017

2,829

2,742

2,746

2,706

September 2017

2,823

2,747

2,746

2,718

 

USA DDGS (RMB Cash Market)

Updated: 31/Oct/2016

Unit: RMB/mt

USA DDGS RMB Market by China Package

Package

Week #43

Week #42

Bulk

2,140 - 2,220

2,120

Bag

2,110 - 2,300

2,100

 

We welcome your comments and input.

 

CFO Reporter: Charles Wang

Email: cfo@chinafeedonline.com

 

Type Report: 
Weekly


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