Per MOARA press conference on 20/April/2021, we summarized several key points for your reference:.

A) The most tight period of pork supply has passed, and the supply will be improved.  According to the current production recovery momentum , in June & July this year, the “ live pig stock " is expected to return to the normal level of the year, In another four months or so, the “ monthly slaughter volume”  will also gradually return to the normal level.

B) Table 1 – China Feed Production March & Jan-Mar (the 1^st Quarter) 2021

C) Table 2 – China Feed Production on species March & Jan-Mar (the 1^st Quarter) 2021

 
D) According to statistics from the National Bureau of Statics of China, at the end of the 1^st quarter,
- SOW: 43.18 million reproductive sows in China, which recovered to 96.6% at the end of 2017 (just before African Swine Fever outbreak).
- LIVE PIG: The number of live pigs was 416 million, recovered to 94.2% at the end of 2017, and pork production was 13.69 million tons, an increase 31.9% year-on-year.
- PORK PRICES: have fallen for 12 consecutive weeks, falling to around 40 yuan (RMB) per kg, a year-on-year decrease of about 25%.
-Finally, Chinese authority will continue to insist on the recovery of live pig production and the prevention and control the African swine fever epidemic.
In particular, the ASF recurrence in Feb 2021 in Northern part of China including Shandong, Hebei, Henan provinces.

Please feel free to contact me if any comments.